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View Full Version : Who Would You Back To Win The HC ?



Out Half
22nd-December-2011, 17:04
Who would you put your money on now to win the Heineken Cup in Twickenham next May ?

Harlequins at 16/1 with PP is not a bad price and if Quins do reach the final it will be a home away from home game for them

i_like_cake
22nd-December-2011, 17:14
nah, Quins only win their big matches away from home................

rathbaner
23rd-December-2011, 10:42
It wouldn't surprise me if Quins did it - 14 wins out of 15 in all comps. Momentum and all that. No doubt they'll backbone the new England side this year too.

Mcork
23rd-December-2011, 10:53
Who would you put your money on now to win the Heineken Cup in Twickenham next May ?

Harlequins at 16/1 with PP is not a bad price and if Quins do reach the final it will be a home away from home game for them

This question highlights the huge huge flaw in the HEC. The semi final 'draw'. Even assuming that it was a true, fair and open draw (which personally I do not believe). It hands certain teams almost unsurmountable obstacle to progress. If I said to you 'Tolouse to win' and then they got drawn to meet Leinster in semi in the Aviva, then I would change my mind. Vice versa also true.

Leinster & Toulouse have most quality in their squads of the teams remaining. Both will top their groups and get home draws in the Qtr and it is reasonable to expect them to win those. After that it is the 'luck' of the draw (if the French are prevented from 'arranging' it). If they both get home draws, then that will be the final IMO.

Out Half
23rd-December-2011, 11:31
This question highlights the huge huge flaw in the HEC. The semi final 'draw'. Even assuming that it was a true, fair and open draw (which personally I do not believe). It hands certain teams almost unsurmountable obstacle to progress. If I said to you 'Tolouse to win' and then they got drawn to meet Leinster in semi in the Aviva, then I would change my mind. Vice versa also true.

Leinster & Toulouse have most quality in their squads of the teams remaining. Both will top their groups and get home draws in the Qtr and it is reasonable to expect them to win those. After that it is the 'luck' of the draw (if the French are prevented from 'arranging' it). If they both get home draws, then that will be the final IMO.

If that is the case with the final at Twickenham the ERC would like / want to see a English team in the final and somebody correct me if i am wrong in what i say the three finals that have been played at Twickenham have been won by English teams and one of them was a all English final

ListryMurphy
23rd-December-2011, 21:57
Toulouse!

NiallGK
24th-December-2011, 00:09
Hmmm, sorry to say but Leinster to win it again (based on form alone).

Stanley
24th-December-2011, 00:39
I fancy Saracens, based on not many players involved in RWC, doing well in UK Premiership, almost certainly to be in the play-off final and not many players will take part in the 6N.

The management timed it well last year to finally beat Leic.

Lein can make it to the final but perhaps the 6N will take its toll as I fancy a good start by Irl to put Wales away, redress the balance of a disappointing Qtr final will raise expectations of a Championship win but not a GS.

the plastic paddy
24th-December-2011, 08:19
I fancy Saracens, based on not many players involved in RWC, doing well in UK Premiership, almost certainly to be in the play-off final and not many players will take part in the 6N.

The management timed it well last year to finally beat Leic.

Lein can make it to the final but perhaps the 6N will take its toll as I fancy a good start by Irl to put Wales away, redress the balance of a disappointing Qtr final will raise expectations of a Championship win but not a GS.Very well reasoned, however the only bit I would disagree with is the GS. Even with Eng and France away I really fancy Ireland to win the GS this year, Leinster and Ulster are playing very well and Munster while not performing brilliantly are winning and the Ireland captain is playing as well as anyone

Out Half
24th-December-2011, 10:44
Leinster , Toulouse could well win it but would not be a very good price with the bookies Sarries would be good bet what price are they to win the HC ? i guess they would be around the same price as Quins

flimwodd
24th-December-2011, 10:49
In fairness its hard to bet against Leinster,dare i say foolish at this point,it will come down to injuries as is the case most years.

Viigand
24th-December-2011, 10:55
If I was to bet my own cash on it, I'd go with Leinster. They are playing fantastic rugby at the moment, both offensively and defensively.

kahalui
24th-December-2011, 11:21
The semifinal draw will have a huge bearing but Id back Toulouse to beat Leinster if they met in the final.

John Cooper Clarke
24th-December-2011, 11:26
It'd be difficult look beyond Toulouse or Leinster currently. Early doors still however.

Stanley
24th-December-2011, 13:18
Leinster , Toulouse could well win it but would not be a very good price with the bookies Sarries would be good bet what price are they to win the HC ? i guess they would be around the same price as Quins


Heineken Cup 2012 Friday 13th January 2012, 19:45



Outright Betting
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Leinster
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Harlequins
16/1 (javascript:void(0))





Scarlets
60/1 (javascript:void(0))





Toulouse
4/1 (javascript:void(0))





Leicester
18/1 (javascript:void(0))





Ulster
90/1 (javascript:void(0))





Saracens
6/1 (javascript:void(0))





Cardiff Blues
20/1 (javascript:void(0))





Northampton
175/1 (javascript:void(0))





Munster
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Edinburgh
60/1 (javascript:void(0))





London Irish
200/1 (javascript:void(0))





Clermont Auvergne
15/2 (javascript:void(0))





Biarritz
60/1 (javascript:void(0))





Glasgow Warriors
325/1 (javascript:void(0))




Each Way Terms 1/3 places 1,2





Paddy Power odds

Stanley
24th-December-2011, 13:23
Very well reasoned, however the only bit I would disagree with is the GS. Even with Eng and France away I really fancy Ireland to win the GS this year, Leinster and Ulster are playing very well and Munster while not performing brilliantly are winning and the Ireland captain is playing as well as anyone



The very large hump on our back is winning in Paris, in both warm-up matches for the RWC, France were home and hosed by HT, unless the French players take time to bed in with St. Andre, would expect the French winning streak to continue.

Aussiedub
24th-December-2011, 14:11
Seriously how can you think Ireland will win a GS? Ulster are playing rubbish, Leinster are playing a style of rugby that is totally different to Munster and even though it's been far more successul we still try to play a more Munster style for Ireland.